This is a continuation of my last post, a rough and ready round-up of what I took away from the TrendsPlus conference last week at the Cavendish Conference Centre in London.
After lunch (I think, the order changed on the day and I didn't make notes on all the sessions) the speaker was Paul Edwards of Hall & Partners with some important messages about how we make decisions and the implications for communicators. "What you say is not as important as what they hear." Paul used the analogy of a bird's nest - that all of our experiences, behaviours and choices are made over the duration of our lives and are stored away in a kind of structure in which we are cocooned - at least that's how I interpreted it.
Those stored decisions include brand preferences and all kinds of default choices often burned into your brain from years ago.
Paul talked about Type 1 and Type 2 decisions - Type 1 being the automatic, the habitual choices that happen in the subconscious - interestingly he called these the 'pre-rational' decisions, not 'emotional' as they are sometimes called. Type 2 decisions are the ones we like to think we make all the time - rational, requiring thought, analytical. But in reality very few decisions (relatively) are made like this, because they are harder work for the brain. They're also much slower.
"The faster you influence people the less chance they have to engage Type 2 decision making."
Decisions can be disrupted, however, and it's working out how to do that that is the job of communicators wanting to change people's behaviour.
This theme of the two types of thought/decision making came up in more than one presentation, and I was interested to see that the old dichotomy between left brain/right brain and emotional vs rational response seems to have moved on.
Phil Barden of Decode Marketing made a similar point, talking about the two decision making processes being 1) perception/intuition and 2) reasoning. He likened the two to the autopilot vs the pilot. Autopilot decisions happen unconsciously - we can't 'get at' them retrospectively - and they happen fast, in computing terms at 11 million (bps) bytes per second, as opposed to pilot decisions which happen typically at 40 bps.
Perception/intuitive decision making: heuristics, fast, parallel, effortless, automatic, associative, slow learning (over time), implicit, autopilot
Reasoning: rule-governed, slow, serial, thinking, reflective, explicit, pilot
Post-rationalising of Type 1 decisions doesn't reveal the real truth, which is why insights from focus groups and other qualitative research isn't always effective.
"A brand should aim to be selected without conscious thought" said Phil, and it seemed to really make sense. It also poses problems for the traditional models of marketing based on AIDA and all its derivatives, since they are based on linear progressions through the decision making process, when in fact many of our decisions are likely to be fast, individual and inexplicable.
I have to give an honourable mention to mills™ who was billed as the CHIEF WONGA™ at ustwo™. Ordinarily when I see this on the agenda, my cynical heart sinks a little. But he came over as a naturally entertaining speaker who broke all the rules (admitting failure, using sound effects in his presentation) but got away with it!
I think to start with the whole audience was aghast at his stories of the apps his company had built, all failures in the sense of losing money. But mills™ turned it around by explaining that they were actually doing very well with client work, turning over 7 million, and the money they lost only represented 10% of that which did actually sound reasonable when put that way. 10% of turnover into R & D? For a company in the fast moving technology sector that sounds sensible. And he also showed us how the failed projects nevertheless created a shedload of publicity, worldwide awareness and kudos with clients. So not a failure at all - a "succ-ailure"!
*****
PS I haven't included here anything about the excellent '12 consumer trends that will kick ass in 2012' given by Henry Mason of Trendwatching, mainly because he said his whole presentation would be available to us afterwards, so I concentrated on listening. I'll talk about these in a later post!